System Live  ·  v6.6.1  ·  2026.05.30

AI-Native
Autonomous
Trading

T BOT is a self-calibrating, multi-surface trading system where Claude AI holds full decision authority — running live on real money, 24/7.

4Trading Surfaces
14Auto-Managed Dimensions
8Calibration Engines
24/7Autonomous Operation
● LIVE FX on OANDA  ·  CAD 2,000 NAV ● LIVE ST on Kalshi  ·  $1,000 Bankroll 🟢 Auto-Calibration  ·  Daily 21:00 UTC 🛡 mTLS  ·  Authenticated Origin Pulls Active 📱 Mobile-First Ops  ·  Daily Telegram Brief 🔒 Bitwarden Vault  ·  11 Secrets  ·  Zero Plaintext ⚡ 35+ Commits  ·  Holy Grail Ship  ·  2026.05.30 ● LIVE FX on OANDA  ·  CAD 2,000 NAV ● LIVE ST on Kalshi  ·  $1,000 Bankroll 🟢 Auto-Calibration  ·  Daily 21:00 UTC 🛡 mTLS  ·  Authenticated Origin Pulls Active 📱 Mobile-First Ops  ·  Daily Telegram Brief 🔒 Bitwarden Vault  ·  11 Secrets  ·  Zero Plaintext ⚡ 35+ Commits  ·  Holy Grail Ship  ·  2026.05.30

The Problem

Retail traders are outgunned.

Algorithmic advantage has always lived on institutional balance sheets. Manual trading loses to speed. Static bots lose to regime change. Neither learns. T BOT is different.

Speed Asymmetry

Institutions execute in microseconds. Retail traders react in minutes. The edge gap is structural, not skill-based.

📉

Static Strategy Decay

Most retail bots run fixed parameters. Markets shift. Win rates erode. Operators panic-adjust on feeling, not data.

🔒

Capital Lock-In

Traditional managed funds charge management fees regardless of performance. Subscribers pay whether they win or lose.

The Solution

Four surfaces. One brain.

T BOT runs four fully isolated trading surfaces under a single Claude AI intelligence layer — each with its own capital, env file, state machine, and kill switch. A change to one cannot touch another.

ST · Short-Term ● Live

Kalshi Prediction Markets

60-min loop scanning sports props, weather, and economic events. Poisson CDF on ESPN data + Claude Sonnet signal generation. 16-layer filter chain with HMAC-signed trade signals.

$1,000Live Bankroll
16Guard Layers
35%+WR @ 0.65+ Conf.
FX · Forex ● Live

OANDA Forex — 8 Major Pairs

30-min loop during FX hours. RSI/BB/SR technical features, ATR-based bracket sizing. BUY-only filter after backtest on 252 resolved trades shows structural SELL bias in LLMs.

$1,400Live NAV (USD)
65%Win Rate (BUY-only)
14.99Profit Factor
LT · Long-Term ● Paper

Kalshi Macro Markets

Fed funds, CPI, election outcomes. 60-min loop with Haiku research layer. Category concentration cap guards against Fed-funds over-exposure.

Dry RunMode
9Filter Guards
STK · Equities ● Paper

IBKR US Equities — 30 Stock Watchlist

30-min loop, momentum + ATR scanner across AAPL, NVDA, MSFT and 27 others. Claude Sonnet directional refinement. Bracket orders via IBKR Client Portal API.

AwaitingCapital Funding
30Stock Watchlist

How It Works

Research → Signal → Execute.

Every surface runs the same five-stage pipeline. No manual intervention. Each stage has an escape hatch. Claude holds decision authority within calibration-discipline guardrails.

1

Scan

Market scanner identifies opportunities via volume, price anomaly, momentum composite score

2

Research

RSS feeds, ESPN data, SEC filings — Claude synthesizes signal narrative per market

3

Predict

Edge + confidence + Kelly sizing. 6 upstream guards. Disagreement log for post-trade audit

4

Execute

HMAC-signed order placement. File-lock dedup. Fail-closed safety flags. Real broker fill.

5

Compound

Resolution, P&L, Brier calibration. Auto-rebalance fires nightly. Bankroll compounds.

# Auto-Calibration Engine — v6.6.1
# 14/23 dimensions auto-managed

FOREX_DIRECTION_FILTER=*:BUY
FOREX_MIN_EDGE=0.15  ← engine managed
FOREX_MIN_CONFIDENCE=0.55
FOREX_RR_RATIO=2.5

ST_MIN_CONFIDENCE=0.60  ← engine managed
ST_DIRECTION_FILTER=NO
ST_SUSPENDED_CATEGORIES=[]

# Shapes A–H cover all calibration types:
# multiplier_weight / position_cap /
# threshold / set_membership / boolean /
# time_window / block_list / ratio_tuner

# Burst: 10 cron jobs @ 21:00 UTC daily
CALIBRATION_APPLY=true
SAFE_RESTART_GATE=39 unit tests

The Holy Grail

Self-calibrating
by design.

We shipped v6.6.0 — the "Holy Grail" — on 2026.05.30. 14 of 23 strategy dimensions now update autonomously from data every night. No human touches a parameter. Claude does it.

8 Shape Engines (A–H): multiplier, cap, threshold, set, boolean, time, blocklist, ratio
39-test safety gate before every pm2 restart via safe_restart.sh
Full notification fan-out: Telegram + events.jsonl + dashboard API on every apply
Operator escape hatches: freeze, reset, or re-arm any dimension instantly

Business Model

Aligned incentives.
No surprises.

One model. One sentence. Subscriber pays T BOT a commission on profits they actually withdraw. That's it.

15% commission on realized profits only

High-Water Mark Protection

T BOT earns nothing until the subscriber is above their previous withdrawal peak. Losses carry forward — no double-dipping.

Withdrawal-Triggered Only

Commission crystallizes at withdrawal, not mark-to-market. Paper gains don't trigger fees. Only real money out the door counts.

90-Day Beta: Zero Commission

Early subscribers pay nothing for the first 90 days. Full terms in subscriber-docs/TBOT_TERM_SHEET_v2.md.

No Tiers, No Platform Fees, No Surprises

No subscription plans, management fees, or seat counts. Pure profit-share — T BOT's incentives are perfectly aligned with yours.

Security

Enterprise-grade.
From day one.

Two external security audits completed. Every critical and high finding is closed. Defense-in-depth across four independent layers.

🔐

Cloudflare mTLS + AOP

Authenticated Origin Pulls — only Cloudflare can reach the origin server. Direct IP requests fail TLS handshake. UFW whitelists CF CIDRs only.

🔑

Bitwarden Secrets Vault

11 secrets in isolated vault. Rotation via stdin pipe — values flow vault → CLI → SSH → env file. Never appear in shell, chat, or logs.

✍️

HMAC-Signed Trade Signals

trade_signals.json is HMAC-SHA256 signed at generation, verified at execution. File permission 600. Injection attack vector closed.

🛑

Fail-Closed Safety Flags

parse_dry_run() only returns False for explicit false/no/0/off. Ambiguous values default to DRY_RUN with [SAFETY-H5] log line.

🔄

Auto-Deploy with Env Guard

GitHub Actions pushes to droplet via SSH. Pre-restart check aborts if any .env file is missing — guards against wipe on reset --hard.

Circuit Breakers on Every Surface

Cron every 15 min. FX pauses at NAV < $500 USD. ST pauses at balance < $500 USD, resumes at $700. Hysteresis prevents flap loops.

Audit Record: 2 external security audits completed as of v6.6.1. Round 1 addressed network-level findings (H1 + H2 + M1). Round 2 addressed host + supply chain (H3 + H5 + L5 + M5 + M6 + M7). All Critical and High findings are closed. C3/H4/L7 (root monoculture) are the only deferred items — a deliberate half-day scheduled change, not a structural risk.

Traction

Real money. Real orders.

Both live surfaces have been running autonomously since May 2026. Every metric below comes from production trade logs, not backtests.

v6.6.1 Current Version · Shipped 2026.05.30
252Resolved FX Trades for Backtesting
14.99 FX Profit Factor (BUY-only preset)
65%FX Win Rate on Allowed Pairs
8Calibration Shape Engines Live

Valuation & Terms

The investment case.

T BOT is an AI-native autonomous trading system with two surfaces live on real money today and nightly self-calibration across 14 of 23 strategy dimensions. Below is the valuation framework, use of proceeds, return scenarios, and key terms accompanying the seed-round term sheet. Confidential — for accredited investors only.

14.99×FX Profit Factor
(BUY-only preset)
65%FX Win Rate
Live production
252Resolved Trades
Backtest corpus
14 / 23Dimensions
Auto-managed
2External Security
Audits Closed
Valuation Framework

Pre-money basis & method

MethodBerkus + ComparableEarly-stage hybrid
Live System (Proof)$500KProduction on real capital
Holy Grail IP$750K14/23 auto-calibrated dims
Tech Moat (Security)$250KmTLS, HMAC, 2× audits
Business Model$250K15% HWM profit-share
Execution Track Record$250KSolo-built, 35+ commits/day
Pre-Money Valuation$2.0M
Seed Round TargetTBDFounder discretion
Post-Money (est.)$2.0M+
Use of Proceeds

Capital allocation plan

40%
Trading Capital
Fund IBKR equities surface ($200K+ target). Scale OANDA FX bankroll. Compound growth across all four surfaces.
35%
Infrastructure & Data
Premium market data feeds. Upgraded DigitalOcean droplet for low-latency execution. Redundant failover stack.
25%
Subscriber Platform
Multi-user dashboard. Per-subscriber capital isolation. HWM commission crystallization engine.
Returns Model

Year-1 scenario analysis

Based on FX profit factor of 14.99× and 65% win rate at current capital. Projections assume capital deployed per allocation plan. Not a guarantee of future results.

Conservative 1.5× – 2× PF ≈ 1.5 · 50% WR
Base Case 3× – 5× PF ≈ 5 · 60% WR
Upside 10×+ PF ≈ 15 · 65%+ WR
Revenue Model15% HWM Profit-Share
Management FeeNone
Commission TriggerWithdrawal only
Beta Window90 days, zero commission
Subscriber Target (Ph.4)Beta cohort, 90-day
Key Investment Terms

Seed term highlights

Round TypeSeed (SAFE or Equity)
Pre-Money Val.$2.0M
InstrumentFounder Discretion
Min. Check SizeTBD
Investor RightsPro-rata / Info Rights
Board ObserverOptional at lead
Capital DeployedImmediate
60-Day WindowPF > 1.0 milestone gate
Exit Horizon3–5 years
Full Term SheetTBOT_TERM_SHEET_v2.md
Trading Surfaces · Current Status
● FXOANDA · $1,400 NAV
Live · 8 pairs
● STKalshi · $1,000
Live · Prediction mkts
○ LTKalshi · Paper
Dry run · Macro
○ STKIBKR · Awaiting capital
Paper · 30-stock list

Roadmap

From proof to platform.

Two surfaces live. Two staging. The path to scale is funded data, multi-subscriber infrastructure, and expanding the capital base — not new code.

Phase 1 · Complete

System Architecture + Live Deployment

Four surfaces, full isolation, auto-deploy pipeline, PM2 cluster, Cloudflare security stack, Bitwarden vault, morning brief, HMAC signal signing, circuit breakers.

Phase 2 · Complete

Holy Grail: Auto-Management Framework

14/23 strategy dimensions auto-managed. 8 shape engines. 39-test safety gate. Daily calibration burst. Notification fan-out. Two external security audits closed.

Phase 3 · Now — 60-Day Autonomy Window

Prove Profitability on Both Live Surfaces

FX through 2026-07-26 · ST through 2026-07-27. Stop condition: PF > 1.0 over the 60-day window or surface gets deprecated. Weekly audits. Sunday paired review.

Phase 4 · With Investment

Capital Expansion + Subscriber Onboarding

Fund IBKR equities surface ($200K+). Scale OANDA FX bankroll. Launch 90-day beta subscriber cohort under HWM commission model. Multi-user dashboard + subscriber state isolation.

Phase 5 · Scale

Platform: T BOT as a Service

Remaining 9 auto-managed dimensions. Root monoculture hardening. Per-subscriber capital isolation. API for third-party signal consumers. LT surface lift when n≥20 data threshold is met.

Founder

Solo-built. Deeply committed.

K
Ken (Mwara) Kariuki
Founder & Sole Developer · T BOT · Vancouver, BC

"I shipped 35+ commits in a single day to close the Holy Grail milestone. The infrastructure, the AI stack, the security model, the business model — every line of code is mine. I'm not building a demo. This is live money, live data, and a live system that self-calibrates every night."

Python FastAPI Claude AI OANDA FX Kalshi IBKR API Cloudflare DigitalOcean GitHub Actions CI/CD
Experience
Founder & OperatorApr 2026 — Present
T BOT (Self-employed) · Vancouver, BC · Remote

Operate a six-product portfolio end-to-end as a solo founder; stack runs on a $30/mo infrastructure budget across DigitalOcean and the Cloudflare edge. Cloudflare Workers · Algorithmic Trading · TypeScript · Anthropic Claude · System Architecture · FastAPI · Python.

Process Operator (Lvl II → I → Production)Feb 2022 — Apr 2026
Vitalus Nutrition Inc. · Abbotsford, BC

Operated ICS / SCADA / HMI in continuous-production food manufacturing across three role levels; implemented KPI tracking and IDS hardening on plant control networks.

FounderOct 2007 — Jan 2022
Limericks Agency (Self-employed) · Nairobi, Kenya

Built and ran a 14-year entertainment agency serving corporates and hospitality across East Africa (Safaricom International Jazz Festival, 2017). Concurrent: Director of Entertainment, Capital Club East Africa (2014–2016).

Selected Work · Six-Product Portfolio
T BOT — Multi-surface algorithmic trading platform

Four trading surfaces (Kalshi, OANDA, IBKR) on surface-isolated env files, per-surface bankrolls, kill switches, and calibration curves. Predict layer uses Claude Sonnet to synthesise RSS news + technical indicators into narrative probability.

Unified Ops Dashboard

Cloudflare Workers + D1 + Pages; HMAC-signed event ingest from every product writing to a unified-events D1 table. FastAPI backend, branded modals, per-surface kill switches.

tbot-client — Python subscriber client

Subscriber polls the signals feed, applies own per-surface gating + Kelly sizing + concurrent-cap rules, executes via their own broker credentials. Adapter pattern; systemd unit + state persistence. Plus: Canadian PR Mastery, Reinvention Blueprint, Maasai Moran Pipeline.

Technical Skills
Languages
PythonTypeScript / JSBashSQL
Cloudflare
WorkersPagesD1R2KVDNS
AI / LLMs
ClaudeOpenAIGeminiCalibration
APIs & Integrations
KalshiOANDAIBKRNOAA NWSStripeResend
Infrastructure
DigitalOceanPM2systemdFastAPIJSONL logging
Education
BSc. Information Systems & Technology, Business, Finance & IT
United States International University – Africa, Nairobi
Certified Ethical Hacker
The University of British Columbia, Vancouver
Certifications

Ethical Hacking — UBC (2025) · PLC & Industrial Automation — LinkedIn (2025) · CompTIA Network+ (2024) · CompTIA Security+ (2023) · Google Cybersecurity Professional — Coursera (2023) · CS50 — Harvard (2020) · Entrepreneurship in Emerging Markets — HarvardX (2020)

Download full résumé (PDF)

The Ask

Ready to scale.

Seed Round

Capital will go directly toward funding the two paper surfaces into live production and building out multi-subscriber infrastructure. The system is already running. We're raising to feed it. Pre-money: $2.0M.

40%

Capital for Trading Surfaces

Fund IBKR equities surface. Scale OANDA FX bankroll. Enable compound growth on all four surfaces.

35%

Infrastructure & Data

Premium data feeds (paid market data). Upgraded DigitalOcean droplet for lower-latency execution. Redundant failover.

25%

Subscriber Platform Build-Out

Multi-user dashboard. Per-subscriber capital isolation. Automated HWM commission crystallization engine.

Contact

Let's connect.

Email ken@tbot.trade